wholesale freshwater pearls jewelry On the differences between the economic structure and monetary policy transmission mechanism of China and the United States, and their impact on inflation.

wholesale freshwater pearls jewelry

3 thoughts on “wholesale freshwater pearls jewelry On the differences between the economic structure and monetary policy transmission mechanism of China and the United States, and their impact on inflation.”

  1. wholesale jewelry from overseas 1. Talk about the impact of the financial crisis and how to deal with the real economy of the Chinese real economy?
    In this subprime mortgage crisis, the US housing and stock market asset prices have shrunk significantly, which reduces the wealth in people's hands, affects the behavior of micro -entities, and then affects the consumer market. Once the consumption is insufficient, on the one hand, imports are reduced, and countries that have affected the economic and trade exchanges through international trade have been passed through these countries through these countries. Among my country's economic growth factors, exports account for a large proportion, about 60%, while exports to the United States account for a large part. This is the one aspect of the financial crisis on my country's economy.
    The impact of the financial crisis on China's exports and response strategies
    (1) The impact of the subprime loan crisis on China's exports
    1. The amount of exports on the United States has dropped significantly
    2008 In the first half of the year, my country is against the United States to the United States The growth of exports is greatly higher than the increase in export amount. This can be depreciated from the subprime mortgage crisis, especially the US dollar, which has caused US national wealth to shrink, increasing the demand for living necessities, and reducing durable products for high -grade high -grade. The demand for luxury goods has made China grow rapidly in the exports of low value of life, while the value of durable goods and luxury goods with higher value is insufficient.
    2. Exports of the country show signs of deceleration
    From the perspective of exports, from January to June 2008, China increased by 8.44%over the same period last year, and it was significantly lower than the growth rate of 10.11%in the same period of 2007. There are many reasons for the decline in China's export growth rate, and the comprehensive effect of the subprime mortgage crisis leads to insufficient demand for external markets is one of the important reasons.
    3. The growth of the exports of the developing countries is still strong
    The impact on the export of loan crisis on China is mainly manifested in developed countries dominated by the United States. On the contrary, China's export growth in developing countries is still Very strong. From the perspective of the growth of exports, except for North America, China's exports to other major regions have increased lower than the growth of exports, indicating that the value of the unit value of my country's export products is increasing, which is conducive to promoting the transformation of my country's foreign trade development mode. Essence However, the increase in the number of exports to the United States exceeded the increase in exports. This is mainly due to the decline in national wealth in the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis, which has led to a relatively increased consumption consumption of low -value products in China.
    First, the subprime crisis mainly affects my country's exports.
    This loan crisis has caused the slowdown in the growth of US economy and global economic growth, and the impact on the Chinese economy cannot be ignored, and the most important one is the impact on exports. The US subprime mortgage crisis has led to a decline in export growth in my country. On the one hand, it will cause my country's economic growth to slow down to a certain extent. At the same time, due to the slowdown in my country's economic growth, the society's demand for labor is less than the supply of labor. Increase.
    Secondly, my country will face the dual pressure of slowing economic growth and severe employment situation.
    The closure of a large number of small and medium -sized processing enterprises has also exacerbated the severe situation of unemployment. Nowadays, economic events in our country are the first to maintain growth and promote employment.
    Finally, the subprime crisis will increase my country's exchange rate risk and capital market risk.
    In the slowdown of the economic slowdown in developed countries, the continuous growth of my country's economy, the continuous depreciation of the US dollar, and the unchanged RMB appreciation expectations, the acceleration of international capital flowing to my country to find a shelter will exacerbate my country's capital market.
    (2) The future trend judgment of the sub -loan crisis affects China's exports
    . Although there are many factors that affect China's exports, there are external reasons, there are also factors for internal policies and environmental changes, but the growth rate of exports to other regions is The decline is not obvious, and even strongly, the growth rate of US exports has decreased significantly, indicating that the subprime mortgage crisis does have a greater impact on China's exports. With the further development of the subprime mortgage crisis, especially after the "superposition effect" of domestic policy adjustment and environmental changes, China's future growth prospects are worrying. In addition, with the further development and spread of the subprime crisis, China's exports to European countries and even some developing countries will be affected. From the current point of view, China's exports have decreased significantly, and exports to the European Union and Oceania (New Zealand and Australia) have not been significantly affected. However, the exports in the development of regions such as Latin America and Africa have a strong growth trend. However, in the future, if the subprime crisis is further upgraded and spreads, the economic and financial turmoil in other regions will constitute a severe challenge to China's overall export growth.
    . Strategy suggestion to cope with the subprime mortgage crisis
    (1) Suggestions: Use the China -US strategic economic dialogue mechanism to strengthen the coordination of international economic policies to prevent the subprime crisis from excessively transmission to China
    For China, we can consider making full use of Sino -US senior dialogue mechanisms, and use the subprime mortgage crisis as an important issue for the strategic economic dialogue between China and the United States. Responsibility for bilateral economic and trade relations between the world economy and China and the United States.
    (2) Suggestion 2: Stabilize the exchange rate of the RMB to the US dollar, weaken the expectations of the RMB appreciation, eliminate the exchange rate conduction factors
    The depreciation of the dollar and the appreciation of the RMB brings pressure on the export of Chinese companies, making China export Enterprises are facing unprecedented difficulties. To this end, it is recommended to stabilize the RMB exchange rate, weaken the expectations of the RMB appreciation, eliminate the exchange rate transmission mechanism of the export of the subprime mortgage crisis to my country, and avoid the exchange rate as a policy tool for the United States to pass on the crisis.
    (3) Suggestion III: Pay attention to the US radical trade protection behavior, effectively resolve Sino -US trade frictions, and prevent the trading policy of the subprime crisis
    To respond to measures, pragmatic and effective resolving possible disputes between China and the United States trade. If necessary, you can also combine other related countries to jointly resist the possible approach to the country's social society through trade protection under the WTO framework.
    (4) Suggestion 4: Deepen the implementation of market diversification strategies, vigorously explore the market and neighboring countries market, and change the import needs of the US market
    (5) Suggestion 5: Strengthen the economy and trade The coordination, flexibility and effectiveness of the policy, improve the ability to cope with external crisis under the conditions of open economic conditions
    In from the point of view of resolving the US subprime mortgage crisis on China's exports, in the short term, we must comprehensively consider foreign trade policies (exports exports Tax refund, processing trade policy, etc.) and the coordination and cooperation of exchange rate policies, monetary policies, resource prices, labor and environmental policies, enhance coordination, and make full consideration of domestic reform and policy adjustment. For example, while the monetary policy continues to be tightened to the speculative real estate industry, it can implement differential flexible policies for agriculture and related manufacturing industries that help stabilize prices, expand employment and technological progress. It can also be considered to return the export tax refund policy to the system design of "zero tax rates for export goods into the international market". The main tasks of optimizing foreign trade structure and improving export quality and efficiency are borne by domestic resource prices, labor and environmental policies. In addition, in the long run, transforming my country's foreign trade development mode, transforming external pressure into the power of export products, and further expanding domestic demand and reducing the dependence on the external market. way.
    one, four recognition
    1, recognizing economic globalization is a double -edged sword
    mainly reflected in trade liberalization, internationalization and financial globalization The dual influence
    2, recognize the main characteristics of today's world economic development
    The main style of future development can be viewed as "dependence, cooperation, competition, and development". Development, that is, local warfare may continue, terrorism is sometimes rampant, but the possibility of the outbreak of world wars.
    3. Acknowledge the impact of the financial turmoil caused by the US subprime mortgage crisis and enlightenment
    This pointed out the connection, correlation and complexity of the impact and harm of the financial turmoil, and summarize the root cause of the financial storm into the source of the financial turmoil as the source of the financial turmoil into The imbalance of the virtual economy, the imbalance of financial innovation and supervision, the imbalances of the release and intervention, the imbalance between savings and consumption, the imbalance of liquidity, the imbalance of financial asset allocation, the imbalance of financial asset prices, and the imbalance of the US financial system. The reform of the currency system (tolerance and orderly, diversified liquidity means), the reform of capital flow supervision (transaction, risk), and the reform of asset securitization (accounting specifications, evaluation standards, market financial institutions, and financial instruments). In the end Summarizing the enlightenment and lessons of the crisis: the crisis will not end quickly, but it will not evolve into a worldwide crisis; rethinking the American model; the strengthening of the construction of supervision and early warning systems.
    4. Recognize my country's status and role in the world economy
    The total is the lead, but the per capita is still backward. It is believed that the conditions for free exchange of RMB are not mature, but it advocates proposed RMB free exchange schedule, and it is recommended that from 2012 to 2016 to gradually realize the free exchange of capital under capital projects. In addition, the free trade zone strategy is proposed.
    This 2 and six aspects of the response
    1. Seriously cope with economic globalization, and strive to increase the right to speak
    The proposition to put pressure on the United States to improve initiative, such as implementing approval in overseas branches for approval, peer peers, peer -to -peer peers Consider policy.
    2. Improve comprehensive strength and practice internal skills
    The method of economic growth of exported exports, promote the upgrading of the industrial structure, increase the import of energy, food, raw materials, and high -tech technologies, change the current export structure And improve the quality of national and increase talent training.
    3, accelerate the improvement of the capital market
    The should not underestimate the wealth effect and the role of the capital market. If the capital market is not developed in time, it will lose its pricing and bargaining power for capital. my country's wealth will be easily overseas Calls plundered. It is pointed out that the restructuring of asset prices is a process of releaseing China's unprepared wealth by the market.
    4, the exchange of capital projects should be put on the schedule
    The experience of other countries shows that it takes 18-22 years of free exchanges to the capital project from regular projects to free exchanges to capital projects. China should be in 2012 - In 2016, capital projects can be freely exchanged.
    5. Create a group of modern enterprises, speed up the pace of "going global" to drive the output of the product by capital output, and realize the localization of production and sales.
    6. It is necessary to strengthen the prevention of economic and financial risks
    Is that the introduction of all major financial policies and the changes in state -owned assets and other areas of state -owned assets and other areas can be regulated through the hearing of the People's Congress to protect my country through legislative procedures to protect our country in China. National industry.

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